Investment Thesis / Strategy Overview

The Third State Edge

Markets are not efficient. They are emotional, reflexive, and prone to violent dislocations. Most investors fear this chaos; we were founded to embrace it.

Our thesis rests on four principles:

  1. Volatility is Alpha
    • Volatility is not a nuisance to be hedged away — it is the purest source of opportunity.
    • By studying cycles of fear and greed, we position ourselves to capture outsized returns when others retreat.
  2. Liquidity is the Real Scarcity
    • Price is a reflection of liquidity, not fundamentals.
    • Our strategies are designed to be liquid opportunists: we deploy capital where liquidity is surging and withdraw where it dries.
  3. Cross-Asset Agility
    • Markets today are interconnected. A liquidity shock in crypto can ripple into equities; a derivatives squeeze can affect currency flows.
    • We move seamlessly across asset classes — digital assets, derivatives, equities, early-stage ventures — to capture inefficiencies.
  4. Research-Driven Execution
    • Labs feeds Capital and Ventures. Our research wing explores algorithmic trading, AI-driven signals, on-chain analytics, and global macro.
    • No allocation is made without deep, data-driven conviction.

Core Strategies

  • Crypto Liquidity Arbitrage: Capturing spreads and inefficiencies in fragmented digital asset markets.
  • Event-Driven Volatility Plays: Deploying capital into earnings events, macro shocks, or regime changes.
  • Derivatives & CFD Exposure: Leveraging structured instruments to amplify exposure during dislocations.
  • Venture Building in Volatile Sectors: Incubating companies in high-risk, high-reward verticals (fintech, frontier tech, digital infrastructure).